Predicted Marathon Time

I've been playing around with the FiveThirtyEight Predicted Marathon Time tool.

Using my 5k and half marathon PRs along with an assumption that I will be running about 40 miles per week, it says I will finish in 3:25:48. That's 48 seconds too slow to even qualify for Boston and about 3 minutes too slow to beat the cutoff.

I've got some work to do.

The Goal: 3:22:51

The @BAA announced cut-off for registration into 2017 @boston marathon at 2:09 under qualifying standard. See more: https://t.co/6KNJ6QuGUL pic.twitter.com/68LT3QQQYh

— Boston Marathon (@bostonmarathon) September 28, 2016