I've been playing around with the FiveThirtyEight Predicted Marathon Time tool.
Using my 5k and half marathon PRs along with an assumption that I will be running about 40 miles per week, it says I will finish in 3:25:48. That's 48 seconds too slow to even qualify for Boston and about 3 minutes too slow to beat the cutoff.
I've got some work to do.
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
I was really pumped up for the time trial. It was probably just nervous energy, but I was trying to talk myself into running 6:00/mile. I didn't really think I was in that kind of shape, but I wanted to be better than my last one. I ended up averaging 6:13, but I had a good negative split and probably could have pushed for a little more. Despite lots of injuries in the last year, I feel like I'm building a great base. I need a flat, fast 5k in good weather to hit my sub-20 goal.